27 January 2008

A Proportional Response

Obama won South Carolina last night in a huge way. He had been polling at 40 but pulled out with 55%, while Hillary was 28 points behind him. Edwards had been gaining in the polls all week, especially after he was the only rational voice in the last debate, but it wasn't enough for poor Johnny.

What's happened to the polls this election? It seems unlikely that in the last minute, Obama got the vast majority of the undecideds, which accounted for something like 15% of the voting population. Did all the good pollsters go on strike with the writers? I'm not going to pay attention to polls anymore.

Rumor has it McCain will win Florida, but Romney's up there too. McCain's got the endorsement of Gov Crist, which should help him out with the Cuban vote. I'm predicting (hoping) that Giuliani will drop after he fails miserably in this primary. It'll probably be the best idea for him if he is still hoping for a vice presidential bid.

Clinton's been doing well in FL but I'm fairly certain that the SC results are going to affect that, with Obama's numbers going up and Clinton's going down.

But I'm not paying attention to polls any more.

Obama kicks off his Mid-Atlantic campaign tomorrow in DC! We're most definitely in the last stretch to Super Tuesday.

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