The 2008 United States Presidential Election has officially gone Batshit Insane.
1) Sen. Obama has won the last 10 primaries. Ahead in the count by 150 delegates. Where did this come from?? Sen. Clinton's campaign is on rooftops screaming about how this was not supposed to happen.
2) Sen. McCain potentially had an affair with a really hot lobbyist (who totally looks like his wife). This is kind of a big deal? and has taken the press away from...
3) Sen. Clinton accused Sen. Obama of plagiarizing a speech material from the Governor of Massachusetts. However, Sen. Obama has stated that he and Gov. Deval Patrick are close friends and borrow words from each other frequently. So, that move does seem a liiiiittle desperate, but when a person can get kicked out of college and have their entire career ruined for plagiarizing and it's no big deal for a presidential candidate... I see her point.
Unfortunately I couldn't watch the debate, because I had rehearsal. Classic.
I like the knowledge that no matter what, we will have a U.S. Senator be elected President in November, which has not happened since Nixon in 1972.
Other than that, the rest of my life really sucks.
With malice toward none; with charity for all; with firmness in the right, as God gives us to see the right, let us strive on to finish the work we are in; to bind up the nation's wounds; to care for him who shall have borne the battle, and for his widow, and his orphan -- to do all which may achieve and cherish a just and lasting peace, among ourselves, and with all nations. - from President Lincoln's Second Inaugural Address
21 February 2008
18 February 2008
Mr. Willis of Ohio
Tomorrow is Hawaii and Wisconsin. Word on the street is that Sen. Obama is leading Sen. Clinton in Wisconsin by a few points, but you never know.
I've signed up to go to Ohio next weekend (March 1 already??) to campaign for Sen. Obama. Not sure if I'm going to actually go or not. It's been kind of frustrating to see his supporters turn into a cult.
Too much to do this week. Rehearsal got cancelled tonight but all I've done since 4:50 is eat dinner, drool at apartment floor plans online, and fantasize on ikea.com. I have to decide what to do for my little tonight, write a lab, read a book, read a long chapter, read the rest of the universe, write some papers, in that order. I wish school was more learning and less work. Also, Mondays suck.
I've signed up to go to Ohio next weekend (March 1 already??) to campaign for Sen. Obama. Not sure if I'm going to actually go or not. It's been kind of frustrating to see his supporters turn into a cult.
Too much to do this week. Rehearsal got cancelled tonight but all I've done since 4:50 is eat dinner, drool at apartment floor plans online, and fantasize on ikea.com. I have to decide what to do for my little tonight, write a lab, read a book, read a long chapter, read the rest of the universe, write some papers, in that order. I wish school was more learning and less work. Also, Mondays suck.
15 February 2008
Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc
Been a while since I posted, computer was down and then when it wasn't, I was overwhelmed with catching up from when my computer was down. Now it's 1:48 am, I'm locked out of my room and watching the second episode of the West Wing. I miss DC. Oh wait, I live here.
So... Sen. Obama's won the last 8 primaries, and technically is ahead in the delegate count. And we all know that. Next primaries are Hawaii and Wisconsin on Tuesday, which I don't foresee being very difficult for Sen. Obama. At least no problems in Hawaii, seeing as how he's from Hawaii. Wisconsin, I guess I don't know. I had a conversation a year ago in Madison with an old Portuguese man who was a big fan of "Obama Baracka," and that is my only Wisconsin Obama poll. Likely not very accurate.
After HI and WI, we have a little break, then comes Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island, and Vermont on March 4. Ohio and Texas are huge. Dr. Allan Lichtman (I guess he's some minor political deal, adviser to Kerry in 2004, friends with Ross Perot, also my professor) says that Sen. Clinton has to win both Ohio and Texas to maintain hope of the nomination. Ohio is a huge battle ground overall; I'm pretty sure that the general is going to come down to Ohio and Florida, and Florida has already gone to Sen. Clinton. I would dearly love to see Ohio go Democratic this year. And Virginia!
Favorite new site to waste my hours. I think it's maybe the coolest site of all time.
So... Sen. Obama's won the last 8 primaries, and technically is ahead in the delegate count. And we all know that. Next primaries are Hawaii and Wisconsin on Tuesday, which I don't foresee being very difficult for Sen. Obama. At least no problems in Hawaii, seeing as how he's from Hawaii. Wisconsin, I guess I don't know. I had a conversation a year ago in Madison with an old Portuguese man who was a big fan of "Obama Baracka," and that is my only Wisconsin Obama poll. Likely not very accurate.
After HI and WI, we have a little break, then comes Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island, and Vermont on March 4. Ohio and Texas are huge. Dr. Allan Lichtman (I guess he's some minor political deal, adviser to Kerry in 2004, friends with Ross Perot, also my professor) says that Sen. Clinton has to win both Ohio and Texas to maintain hope of the nomination. Ohio is a huge battle ground overall; I'm pretty sure that the general is going to come down to Ohio and Florida, and Florida has already gone to Sen. Clinton. I would dearly love to see Ohio go Democratic this year. And Virginia!
Favorite new site to waste my hours. I think it's maybe the coolest site of all time.
07 February 2008
Stirred
Today Former Governor Romney dropped out of the race for the Presidency. I don't really know what that means. I guess that Former Gov. Huckabee and Sen. McCain will get the votes that would have gone to Romney, obviously, but I don't know how they're going to split. I mean, not that anyone does know how they're going to split, really...
I am insanely busy. I am supposed to be in three places at once on Saturday (literally three), plus find time to do my homework? And I have a ton that I haven't done this week. I'd love love LOVE to work for Sen. Obama's campaign this weekend but it might just have to be on primary day. I have an ungodly amount of mock trial to work on, as well. I could spend 95% of all the hours in the days between now and Feb 23 on mock trial and it still wouldn't be enough. My expectations are also unrealistically high.
In better news, spring training starts in about a week! This is so great.
Kind of addicted to this, even though I wish it were about a minute shorter.
I am insanely busy. I am supposed to be in three places at once on Saturday (literally three), plus find time to do my homework? And I have a ton that I haven't done this week. I'd love love LOVE to work for Sen. Obama's campaign this weekend but it might just have to be on primary day. I have an ungodly amount of mock trial to work on, as well. I could spend 95% of all the hours in the days between now and Feb 23 on mock trial and it still wouldn't be enough. My expectations are also unrealistically high.
In better news, spring training starts in about a week! This is so great.
Kind of addicted to this, even though I wish it were about a minute shorter.
06 February 2008
Six Meetings Before Lunch
Guess it's time for my post-Super Tuesday update.
Bottom line is as follows, according to MSNBC.
Sen. Obama: 838 delegates
Sen. Clinton: 834 delegates
Former Sen. Edwards: 26 delegates but he dropped out so it doesn't matter
Democrats need 2,025 for a nomination.
Sen. McCain: 720 delegates
Former Gov. Romney: 256 delegates
Former Gov. Huckabee: 194 delegates
Rep. Paul: 14 delegates
Republicans need 1,191 for a nomination
My thoughts are that the delegates from Florida and Michigan will, in fact, be seated at the Democratic convention in Denver in August. Which gives Senator Clinton a HUGE boost.
So nothing terribly decisive or upsetting coming out of Super Tuesday.
All in all, not as eventful a night as I had expected. Though Sen. Obama ultimately did come out ahead, which I had not been expecting. Looks like our little Matt Santos is picking up speed.
Kansas, Lousiana, Nebraska, and Washington all have primaries/caucuses on Saturday, followed by Maine Dem on Sunday, and the Potomac Primary on Tuesday the 12th.
Bottom line is as follows, according to MSNBC.
Sen. Obama: 838 delegates
Sen. Clinton: 834 delegates
Former Sen. Edwards: 26 delegates but he dropped out so it doesn't matter
Democrats need 2,025 for a nomination.
Sen. McCain: 720 delegates
Former Gov. Romney: 256 delegates
Former Gov. Huckabee: 194 delegates
Rep. Paul: 14 delegates
Republicans need 1,191 for a nomination
My thoughts are that the delegates from Florida and Michigan will, in fact, be seated at the Democratic convention in Denver in August. Which gives Senator Clinton a HUGE boost.
So nothing terribly decisive or upsetting coming out of Super Tuesday.
All in all, not as eventful a night as I had expected. Though Sen. Obama ultimately did come out ahead, which I had not been expecting. Looks like our little Matt Santos is picking up speed.
Kansas, Lousiana, Nebraska, and Washington all have primaries/caucuses on Saturday, followed by Maine Dem on Sunday, and the Potomac Primary on Tuesday the 12th.
04 February 2008
La Palabra
Quick overview of Super Tuesday.
Tomorrow 24 states are holding primaries (in 2004 Super Tuesday had the primaries of 10 states, so that really is a lot).
The reason this is such a big deal, especially to the Democratic party, is that 52% of all delegates available are up for grabs. For the Republicans, it's 41%. Something like 1,700 delegates will be pledged for the Democrats. I don't know what the number is for Republicans.
To get the nomination at the convention in August for Dems, September for Reps, a candidate has to have 2,025 delegates.
So, in all likelihood, the Republicans will come out of tomorrow with a nominee. This is because a lot (most?) of the Republican primaries are winner-takes-all. So if in Alabama McCain gets 33% of the vote and Romney gets 32% and Huckabee gets 15% and Ron Paul gets -%500 (yes, that's negative five hundred percent), McCain gets all 48 Republican delegates from Alabama.
However, it is unlikely, in my opinion, that the Democrats will come out of Super Duper Tsunami Tuesday with a nominee. This is because a lot (most?) of the Democratic primaries are proportional, though I think there's a fancier name that is the real name of that. So if in Connecticut, Clinton gets 52% of the vote and Obama gets 47%, then Clinton gets 32 delegates and Obama has 28 Democratic delegates from Connecticut.
Okay so it's actually a lot more complicated than that, because there are superdelegates and unpledged delegates and states with caucuses and states with people on the ballot who have dropped out and stupid shit like that, but we're just going to ignore that and understand it for how it is in a simplified manner.
But! Back to how I think there won't be a nominee for the Democrats tomorrow. Because Obama gained on Clinton so much (they're about even in the national polls, but that doesn't mean anything per state), he could get just about as many delegates tomorrow as she. It's going to depend a lot on how much he gained in California, especially, because California provides 22% of all the delegates in the Democratic party.
And that was a crash course in the messed up qualities of the fabulous day we call Super Tuesday, which will bring much festivities, especially as it coincides with Mardi Gras. I'm so into that. I'm giving up Republicans for Lent.
...
That was a joke. I have many Republican friends who I love and will be seeing often and willingly for the next 40 days.
Tomorrow 24 states are holding primaries (in 2004 Super Tuesday had the primaries of 10 states, so that really is a lot).
The reason this is such a big deal, especially to the Democratic party, is that 52% of all delegates available are up for grabs. For the Republicans, it's 41%. Something like 1,700 delegates will be pledged for the Democrats. I don't know what the number is for Republicans.
To get the nomination at the convention in August for Dems, September for Reps, a candidate has to have 2,025 delegates.
So, in all likelihood, the Republicans will come out of tomorrow with a nominee. This is because a lot (most?) of the Republican primaries are winner-takes-all. So if in Alabama McCain gets 33% of the vote and Romney gets 32% and Huckabee gets 15% and Ron Paul gets -%500 (yes, that's negative five hundred percent), McCain gets all 48 Republican delegates from Alabama.
However, it is unlikely, in my opinion, that the Democrats will come out of Super Duper Tsunami Tuesday with a nominee. This is because a lot (most?) of the Democratic primaries are proportional, though I think there's a fancier name that is the real name of that. So if in Connecticut, Clinton gets 52% of the vote and Obama gets 47%, then Clinton gets 32 delegates and Obama has 28 Democratic delegates from Connecticut.
Okay so it's actually a lot more complicated than that, because there are superdelegates and unpledged delegates and states with caucuses and states with people on the ballot who have dropped out and stupid shit like that, but we're just going to ignore that and understand it for how it is in a simplified manner.
But! Back to how I think there won't be a nominee for the Democrats tomorrow. Because Obama gained on Clinton so much (they're about even in the national polls, but that doesn't mean anything per state), he could get just about as many delegates tomorrow as she. It's going to depend a lot on how much he gained in California, especially, because California provides 22% of all the delegates in the Democratic party.
And that was a crash course in the messed up qualities of the fabulous day we call Super Tuesday, which will bring much festivities, especially as it coincides with Mardi Gras. I'm so into that. I'm giving up Republicans for Lent.
...
That was a joke. I have many Republican friends who I love and will be seeing often and willingly for the next 40 days.
02 February 2008
College Kids
Last night I started thinking about a Clinton/Obama ticket. Previously I had been a huge supporter of Obama/Richardson, because then you get all the minorities or something? (Also Richardson has pretty decent foreign policy experience) And I don't really like the idea of going Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton during my entire life, but the Senator did make a good point in the last Democratic debate, on Thursday night, that it took a Clinton to clean up after the last Bush.
She does have more experience than Senator Obama, and if she were President and he Veep for 8 years he would be the next logical choice, which means 16 years of Democrats. Having Obama on the ticket might unite people to support Clinton as the headliner, despite the fact that she is so polarizing right now. I'm certainly going to vote for any Democrat on the ticket, but I'd be much happier about voting for Clinton if Obama was her running mate. Not that I don't think she'd be a fabulous president, because I do definitely think she could do great things, but I am worried about electability of Clinton if McCain is the Republican's nominee.
If Sen. Obama wins the nomination, and we'll see how he pulls out of Super Tuesday as to how he can do that, he won't pick Sen. Clinton as his running mate. I wouldn't either, if I were him. And he would likely be reluctant to be her running mate if she asked him, but it would be smart. Four or eight years in the White House would groom him so well. All the people who today argue that he doesn't have enough experience, since he's been a Senator for 2 years and has been campaigning for President the whole time, wouldn't be able to say that in 2016.
For the time being, I'm still an Obama supporter. I like having a young, fresh face that isn't a Bush or a Clinton and who wants to do good things for our country. He's not polarizing. He's speaking to the youth of the nation, which Senator Clinton seems to be ignoring (probably because that is more logical, as 18-25s rarely vote). He's optimistic, which Sen. Clinton trashed him for once but that's exactly how her husband got elected. Plus, electing him would do wonders for our relations with Kenya. ... that was a lame little joke.
Listening to Spice Girls, going to see 27 Dresses tonight in Friendship Heights, folding laundry, haven't done any homework today. I love DC so much. I cannot think of a better town for age 21-30ish. I'm considering coming back here for a summer clerkship during law school, though I have sworn up and down for the past 2 years that I will never spend a summer here. I think it will be different when I can be in an air conditioned building all day, and then the nights are always warm enough to go out on the town with no coat.
And I'm using my same rationale that is letting me go to Egypt for 7 weeks in June and July. It's only a couple of weeks! I can deal with that. My ghost sheet skin, maybe less so.
About 60 hours 'til polls open in the east for Super Tuesday.
She does have more experience than Senator Obama, and if she were President and he Veep for 8 years he would be the next logical choice, which means 16 years of Democrats. Having Obama on the ticket might unite people to support Clinton as the headliner, despite the fact that she is so polarizing right now. I'm certainly going to vote for any Democrat on the ticket, but I'd be much happier about voting for Clinton if Obama was her running mate. Not that I don't think she'd be a fabulous president, because I do definitely think she could do great things, but I am worried about electability of Clinton if McCain is the Republican's nominee.
If Sen. Obama wins the nomination, and we'll see how he pulls out of Super Tuesday as to how he can do that, he won't pick Sen. Clinton as his running mate. I wouldn't either, if I were him. And he would likely be reluctant to be her running mate if she asked him, but it would be smart. Four or eight years in the White House would groom him so well. All the people who today argue that he doesn't have enough experience, since he's been a Senator for 2 years and has been campaigning for President the whole time, wouldn't be able to say that in 2016.
For the time being, I'm still an Obama supporter. I like having a young, fresh face that isn't a Bush or a Clinton and who wants to do good things for our country. He's not polarizing. He's speaking to the youth of the nation, which Senator Clinton seems to be ignoring (probably because that is more logical, as 18-25s rarely vote). He's optimistic, which Sen. Clinton trashed him for once but that's exactly how her husband got elected. Plus, electing him would do wonders for our relations with Kenya. ... that was a lame little joke.
Listening to Spice Girls, going to see 27 Dresses tonight in Friendship Heights, folding laundry, haven't done any homework today. I love DC so much. I cannot think of a better town for age 21-30ish. I'm considering coming back here for a summer clerkship during law school, though I have sworn up and down for the past 2 years that I will never spend a summer here. I think it will be different when I can be in an air conditioned building all day, and then the nights are always warm enough to go out on the town with no coat.
And I'm using my same rationale that is letting me go to Egypt for 7 weeks in June and July. It's only a couple of weeks! I can deal with that. My ghost sheet skin, maybe less so.
About 60 hours 'til polls open in the east for Super Tuesday.
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