15 February 2008

Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc

Been a while since I posted, computer was down and then when it wasn't, I was overwhelmed with catching up from when my computer was down. Now it's 1:48 am, I'm locked out of my room and watching the second episode of the West Wing. I miss DC. Oh wait, I live here.

So... Sen. Obama's won the last 8 primaries, and technically is ahead in the delegate count. And we all know that. Next primaries are Hawaii and Wisconsin on Tuesday, which I don't foresee being very difficult for Sen. Obama. At least no problems in Hawaii, seeing as how he's from Hawaii. Wisconsin, I guess I don't know. I had a conversation a year ago in Madison with an old Portuguese man who was a big fan of "Obama Baracka," and that is my only Wisconsin Obama poll. Likely not very accurate.

After HI and WI, we have a little break, then comes Ohio, Texas, Rhode Island, and Vermont on March 4. Ohio and Texas are huge. Dr. Allan Lichtman (I guess he's some minor political deal, adviser to Kerry in 2004, friends with Ross Perot, also my professor) says that Sen. Clinton has to win both Ohio and Texas to maintain hope of the nomination. Ohio is a huge battle ground overall; I'm pretty sure that the general is going to come down to Ohio and Florida, and Florida has already gone to Sen. Clinton. I would dearly love to see Ohio go Democratic this year. And Virginia!

Favorite new site to waste my hours. I think it's maybe the coolest site of all time.

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